At first glance, forecasting behavior might seem far-fetched—can we really predict how people will act? It's a fair question. But just as we once questioned whether we could reliably predict the ...

It was only a generation or two ago that weather forecasts were not to be taken too seriously: funny-guy meteorologists on the local news wisecracking about ruined golf plans. That has long stopped ...

An inverted rate yield curve – that is, a long-term interest rate that falls to or below the short-term interest rate – seems to have a track record of predicting recessions. The question of leading ...

Most people think of weather as just a forecast on their mobile phone—but it’s so much more. Weather impacts every industry, from logistics and operations to marketing and customer experience. Yet ...

Launching a new product in today’s market isn’t just risky; it’s like setting sail into uncharted waters during a storm, with no compass and relying solely on your instincts to guide you. Throughout ...

Q: I’ve listened to your podcasts in which you discuss weather predictions, and I’ve heard you mention the onion method. As a kid, I watched my grandmother and her brothers, all Germans from Russia, ...

AI market forecasting is reshaping how organizations anticipate demand, risk, and opportunity by processing massive volumes of structured and unstructured data in near real time. Modern systems ingest ...

Corporate income tax (CIT) collections are among the most difficult revenues to forecast—even with adequate staffing, comprehensive data, and a stable tax design. In practice, forecasting units ...

Artificial intelligence is becoming an asset in hurricane forecasting. In 2024, an AI-based model created by Google correctly predicted Hurricane Beryl would make landfall in Texas while a top ...

Imagine you are sailing a ship through dense fog, looking out for land. Your lookout spots species of birds typically found offshore. It now seems likely that you are approaching land, but it is ...