Nate Silver, baseball statistician turned political analyst, gained a lot of attention during the 2012 United States elections when he successfully predicted the outcome of the presidential vote in ...

In science, progress is possible. In fact, if one believes in Bayes' theorem, scientific progress is inevitable as predictions are made and as beliefs are tested and refined. ~ Nate Silver If the ...

Bayesian inference is attractive due to its internal coherence and for often having good frequentisi properties. However, eliciting an honest prior may be difficult, and common practice is to take an ...

A nonlinear regression model is applied to several sets of enzyme kinetics data, treating the entire regression vector as the parameter of interest. The resulting marginal posterior distributions are ...

Quantum versions of Bayes’ rule have been around for decades, but the approach through the minimum change principle had not been tried before. In the new work, a team led by Ge Bai, Francesco Buscemi ...

A new study has looked into the so-called "red sky paradox" and the puzzling observation that intelligent life has sprung up ...